538 nfl playoff odds. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. 538 nfl playoff odds

 
 On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home538 nfl playoff odds  Behind the leaders,

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. 2023 NFL Playoff Predictions for the Upcoming Football Season. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. More: Lions Sink Saleh, Even Record After Smothering Wilson. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. CAR at TEN Sun 1:00PM. Filed under Super Bowl LVII. Week 11’s Game Changing Plays see the Seahawks settle for a long field goal…and lose. Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. MVP betting odds have undergone another shift as the NFL season heads into Week 9. Week 16 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. 7 points, good enough to be in the 97th percentile and in 514th place. . Detroit Lions. Denver Broncos » The Denver Broncos (5-5) beat the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 27 percent. 15, 2023. When reading NFL odds, a negative number (-) by a team’s name means they are favored to win. A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. Seattle is doing amazing to be where they are in the rankings. Simulations as of Sept. . Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page. Seventeen teams have a 73% and 15% chance of making the playoffs. Week 12. PIT at CIN Sun 1:00PM. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating the New York Jets 17-16. FiveThirtyEight. This page is frozen as of June 21, 2023, and will no longer. Despite several offseason additions, the team must prove itself worthy before people place their money on Atlanta. Odds. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. The biggest effects came in terms of playoff chances, where six teams saw their odds of making the postseason rise by double-digit percentage points — a group headlined by the Boston Red Sox and. 1%: Lifetime Spread. Stanley Cup odds: 39 percent Why they can win: To put it simply, the 2022-23 Bruins have had the greatest regular season in the history of the NHL , which has existed in one form or another since. Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. But those playoff contests have a lot. The Commanders hold the final wild card berth with a 7-7-1 record, leaving Green Bay a half game back of them. 2021 NFL Predictions. Rookies. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff probability for the two teams involved — according to the FiveThirtyEight model, naturally — of more than 20 percent: 49ers-Bengals,. The NFL playoff elimination scenarios for Week 12, 2023. What to watch for: The Giants come in riding the momentum of a 31-24 upset win over the Vikings in the wild-card round, while the Eagles are trying. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM. Packers -200 — John Ewing (@johnewing) August 2, 2023. Find NFL odds and NFL spreads for upcoming games at FanDuel Sportsbook. How Arizona vs. Week 10 kicked off with the Chicago Bears defeating the Carolina Panthers 16-13, but that outcome did not affect the playoff picture we all. com’s Simple Rating System (SRS) score and current playoff positioning of NFC teams through Week 10 of the NFL season Team W-L-T The New York Jets went from +650 to make the playoffs last season to -149 in 2023 after trading for Aaron Rodgers, which means they have 59. New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, left, and Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning after a game Sunday. Georgia – +250. The Eagles won 38-7. Most NFL teams wind up in the. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. 19, 2023 Updated 11:49 p. College Football Playoff odds (according to the FiveThirtyEight model) if TCU, Georgia, Michigan and USC all win in Week 14. 1 spot(6) Giants at (1) Eagles. If you choose the Pittsburgh Penguins to win with odds of +200, a winning wager would return you $300 (your original $100 bet plus the +200 odds). Josh Katz, Kevin Quealy and Rumsey Taylor break down how. 5%, too, according to FiveThirtyEight. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. . 13, 2022, at 10:03 PM 2021. A win next week would clinch a playoff berth. Odds courtesy of bet365 as of October 17, 2023. Make Play- offs. Georgia, Michigan, Oregon & Ohio State currently have the best odds to qualify for the four-team CFP. . if the Chargers-Raiders game had ended differently, according to FiveThirtyEight’s prediction. In 2019 over 15,000 players signed up to play FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecast game. NFL Draft. According to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL playoff projections, the Patriots’ odds of reaching the postseason are currently 19%. 85 total) Oregon Ducks: -180 (bet $10 to win. , Jan. Click the button below to take your shot. The 2021 NFL season is over. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating the New York Jets 17-16. Odds to make the playoffs: 14%. 17, 2022, at 7:28 AM. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. 55 to 0. They can take full control of the AFC East with a win over the. The. Updated Nov. (SN illustration) The 2023 NFL season figures to be another wild-ride for 285 games all the way through Super Bowl 58. There are a few clear favorites to make it to the postseason, including the San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins. Jared Goff threw for over 250 yards and three touchdowns, and Jamaal Williams put up nearly 150. 26, 2023. All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook. The 2023 NFL playoffs and the countdown to Super Bowl 57 are upon us. With the complete field. The Gini coefficient for NFC playoff probabilities increased from 0. If Kawhi does not play at all, L. . NFL Playoff Odds: Bubble Teams, Biggest Games For Week 12. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. MIA at NYJ Fri 3:00PM. 4% . Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. Miami Dolphins. Cleveland Browns. Updated Nov. Last week, we referred to the presence of a “Big Three” in the NFL: the Seahawks, 49ers and Broncos. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. 49ers:. Remaining schedule: at Jaguars, vs. With a 23% chance at the playoffs, that puts the Rams 19th in the NFL. Super Bowl odds. Illustration by Elias Stein. See their straight up, against the spread, over/under, underdog and prop picks. Full methodology ». Two weeks ago. Standings. FiveThirtyEight's 2021-22 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. The 2023-24 college football season will kick off with Week 0 on August 26th. 11h Mackenzie Kraemer. 2023 NFL Predictions: Super Bowl LVIII, Playoff Picks, Award Winners and More From MMQB Staff Our writers and editors fill out their brackets and pick a champion. Pick Your Sportsbook. After breaking down the playoff picture, here's a more in depth at every team's playoff odds for this season: 2023 NFL Playoff Odds; Team Make Playoffs Miss Playoffs; Arizona Cardinals +900-1800: Atlanta Falcons +120-150: Baltimore Ravens-150 +120: Buffalo Bills-250 +195: Carolina Panthers +160-200:. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. Odds to make the College Football Playoff in 2023-2024 are available for top contenders. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Point spread: Ravens (-1. 2 and No. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. maya (Maya Sweedler, editor): The 2022 NFL playoffs started off with some exciting games that produced unexciting results, with only the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys knocking off a higher. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Spread. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is the top MVP favorite at +370 after throwing for three TDs in Sunday’s win. The 2021 NFL season is over. Wins. Other clubs, such as the Cincinnati Bengals, have moved. Stats. The end of the NFL regular season is approaching, and we're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could look. 95. joshua. The New York Jets (4-6) lost to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 1 percent. Only eight didn't receive a single vote. FiveThirtyEight's nfl picks, bets, and accuracy from Pickwatch. Only four weeks ago, the Steelers playoff chances sat at a mere 0. Despite entering the playoffs with 10 or more regular-season wins seven times since 2002, the organization has yet to make the NFC title game since its Super Bowl XXX win in 1996. Schedule. According to FiveThirtyEight's playoff prediction model, the Patriots' playoff odds only dropped 6 percent in Week 12. By Alex Kirshner. An overall rating for this game. Odds to win the Super Bowl: 5%. Design and development by Jay Boice. Colin's thoughts: "Rookie coach, rookie coordinator, rookie quarterback. Just to qualify for the playoffs, they're listed at -185. The dream of an all-playoffs division is alive. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. 99%, but the odds are very small. 35. See odds, expert picks and TV Schedule for Game 3 of the 2023 Stanley Cup Final. Arizona Cardinals. The Colts head into Week 16 with an 89 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight. The eight ahead of the Browns: the Titans (97 percent), Chiefs (90), Patriots (89), Bills (86), Ravens (82), Chargers (77), Colts (62) and Bengals (42). San Francisco 49ers-10000. TEAM GURU RANK PRESEASON PROJECTION PRESEASON PROJ. Also Read: Highest-paid college football coaches 2023: Nick Saban, Kirby Smart lead NCAA salaries. I'm. 10. Continue. Buccaneers at FalconsNFL Predictions. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. The NFL playoff picture continues to evolve as we get set for Week 12. 5 on those plays. Soppe: The Chargers at -125 to make the playoffs has me sucked in. Probability of winning the Super Bowl by rank (among playoff field) for the 2018 season and the average of the 1990-2017 seasons, according to FiveThirtyEight Elo ratings rank 2018 TeamIt’s hard to say whether this is an anomaly or part of a larger trend toward more randomness in the NFL playoffs. Odds to MISS NFL Playoff at @BetMGM. Play the game As a weekly. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. Football’s toughest division is the AFC. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. We’re midway through the NFL offseason, and sportsbooks have released NFL playoff odds on each team for the upcoming campaign. Who will win the Super Bowl? Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs lead NFL playoff odds. Tier I: 70% or better playoff odds. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else. Sunday's game in Arizona is critical for the Bolts if they want to remain in the playoff mix. At the start of the season FiveThirtyEight had them at an 18% chance of making the playoffs and <1% for making the Cup final or winning the Cup. And the 538 NFL Predictions are even bleaker, giving the Saints a 2% shot at elbowing their way into the playoff picture: 72% – Buccaneers. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections. The Packers reached the playoffs. FiveThirtyEight's 2015 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl 50. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Round-by-round probabilities. 5 would be 26-1 in their past. . Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. When the Bills quarterback is playing at his best, this team is incredibly difficult. Money. A game’s importance is based on how much it swings the playoff odds of. Filed under NFL. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. The Miami Dolphins slipped to third in the playoff odds in the AFC East at -115, while the New England Patriots are a distant fourth. Additionally, if you are looking for real-time updated Playoff Odds, both 538 and Football Outsiders offer high. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. 55 to 0. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet $130 to turn a $100 profit on a Vikings win. Those were then converted into an implied probability . Alabama – +600. According to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL playoff projections, the Patriots’ odds of reaching the postseason are currently 19%. Average difference between points won by readers and by Elo in Week 11 matchups in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL prediction game. The Arizona Cardinals’ Stepfan Taylor runs with the ball during a game against the St. Payoff is calculated differently for the betting odds in the favorite’s and underdog’s markets, but always centered around the value of $100. What to know: The Bills still hold the No. Luckily, their offense decided to wake up, completely demolishing Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears 41-10. Design and development by Jay Boice and Rachael Dottle. 66%. 2%. Eighteen teams still have a shot at the final eight spots,. Based on the average Elo rating of the four conference championship teams, it ranks seventh among the 45 seasons since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. Just six teams were unanimously picked to make the playoffs, while 24 teams (75% of the league) got at least one vote for a playoff spot. Standings. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. Only the Cardinals had worse implied chances. Find out how Offensive Coordinator Kellen Moore's philosophy has impacted the. Keep in mind Washington currently has a half-game lead over Detroit but faces a more difficult schedule than the Lions down the stretch. Lifetime SU: 1574-842-9: 65. 6 seed. Download forecast data. Such teams are usually rare: From 2015-16 through 2021-22, our preseason forecast included, on average, 5. FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions game is the first of its kind for gamifying NFL results. Some of the favorites will come as no surprise, such as the defending champion Kansas. We looked at the 538 Playoff Odds projections last week and they were incredibly favorable to the Vikings. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. FiveThirtyEight expects Nets to lock up No. The 2022 NFL season is over. 2021 NFL Predictions. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. 2. The Eagles are listed at -20000 odds to get into the 2024 NFL playoffs. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. More. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. Depth Charts. Filed under College Football. 1-Week Change Team Division. Like squeezing a balloon, if one team’s playoff chances decline, other teams’ chances expand. A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. The Bulldogs had a record five defensive players selected in the first round of the 2022 NFL draft but managed to reload with a nation-leading unit headlined by Jalen Carter, who most recently. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. Here's a look at the betting details and USA TODAY's NFL staff picks for the Giants vs. With eight of 18 weeks of the 2023-24 NFL season behind us, nine teams’ odds to earn one of 14 playoff spots are -350 or shorter across the board: the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, Lions, Dolphins. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. Stats. go inside how the Chargers created one of the most dominant rushing attacks in the NFL through the first two weeks of 2023. Filed under NFL. As we get set for NFL Week 3, the early season playoff picture continues to come into focus. Filed under NFL. As always, we estimate each team’s. Teams. There’s a shakeup at the top of the list following the retirement of Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady and the usual suspects from the last few seasons near the bottom. The 2021 WNBA playoffs aren’t finished yet, but its regular season saw a gap of 392 points between the best and worst teams. Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. For the first time since 2000, there have been nine games won by teams over an opponent with at least four. FiveThirtyEight's 2017 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. 4-seeded New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays each have more than a 63 percent chance to. Scores. More. The current 2023 NFL Playoff Odds show that the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are the most likely team to qualify for the AFC postseason at -500 and the San Francisco 49ers are their NFC counterparts at -455 to. Their loss, combined with the Chargers’ win over Tennessee, has. Here are more odds to make the NFL Playoffs. Denver Broncos » The Denver Broncos (5-5) beat the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 27 percent. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Nicky Abbs, who finished with the most points this season. NFL Week 10 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. 5 (-110) @ Jaguars. Our platform offers NFL Sportsbook Odds, Betting Lines, Live Betting, and Point Spreads tailored to enhance your NFL betting experience. 01% as they just started climbing their way back to a . A team having a 100 percent chance to miss the playoffs might be closer to 99. The model thinks four teams would be piled up between 25 and 60. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. Record, point differential, Pro-Football-Reference. Here’s the latest national championship odds in college football, per BetMGM, after Week 11. The 2022 NFL season is only one week from wrapping up, which means the playoff picture is really taking shape. After winning the National League pennant in seven games, the Arizona Diamondbacks are at to win it all. . FiveThirtyEight's 2017 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. 49ers at Eagles. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. 8% implied odds of breaking their NFL-work 12-season postseason drought. Our AFC chart is thickly carpeted with playoff implications this week, with Miami, Buffalo, San Diego, Kansas City, Houston and the entire AFC North vying for a wild card position. That was made clear by the Week 10 results, as the Houston Texans beat the…Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. 5 points (25) Moneyline: Ravens win as -130 favorites (bet $10 to win $17. The Buccaneers are sitting well with a 52% chance of making NFC champs and a 24% chance of making it to the Super Bowl. And, as a result of the Week 17 win, the Lions' playoff odds now sit at 34 percent, per FiveThirtyEight. Playoff spots are a finite resource in NFL. More. But if they lose, their chances of making the playoffs sit at 1%. More. FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. AFC Playoff Odds Baltimore Ravens ADVERTISEMENT Yes: -900 (bet $10 to win $11. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. May 2, 2023. The Sooners would have to. the 49ers made the playoffs 16 times, won more than 10 games 17 times, and racked up five championships. 13, 2023, at 10:58 PM To give you a sense of the scale, the average NFL team always has an Elo rating of 1500, and the ratings usually range from 1700 on the high side to 1300 on the low end of the spectrum. Louis. Scores. The deluge of. To save some time, we’re only going to load the schedules for the last two seasons (2018 and 2019). Playoff odds tell how likely an MLB team will win the division, wild card berth or win the World Series. The AFC playoff spots are far harder to break into than the ones in the NFC. Let’s now focus on those two samples in isolation. Sure this Houston team is still deeply. Next >. Despite several offseason additions, the team must prove itself worthy before people place their money on Atlanta. There are seven teams clustered from 8-7 to 7-8, with odds as high as 36 percent (Chargers and Ravens) and as low as less than 0. Arizona Cardinals: Yes +2500 /No (-20000). Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. NFL. 0. NFL. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Better. Bills' Rapp (neck) exits in. Team NBA Title July Odds Opening Night Odds 538 Odds Consensus Win Total 538 Projected Wins. Daily Lines. Baltimore Ravens : Lamar Jackson and the Ravens head into their Week 12 SNF showdown at the. The NFL playoffs are somewhere in between. It’s the revenge of Frank Reich game, since he authored the biggest comeback in NFL playoff history and this is the first in regular-season history where a winning team had trailed by at least. When reading NFL odds, a negative number (-) by a team’s name means they are favored to win. 69 total); Browns were +110 underdogs. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting. This year, the Crimson Tide’s adjusted probability of 33. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Nicky Abbs, who finished with the most points this season. Playoff Odds With the forecast predicting a division crown, obviously they have the Bengals in the playoff picture. 4 best college football teams of all time. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. NFL Week 3 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. What the odds say: +210 to make playoffs, +5500 to win AFC, +8000 to win Super Bowl. Plus, MVPs, coaches and rookies. Chiefs. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. Morry Gash / AP. Below, we’ll look at the best lines for each NFL team’s hopes of making it to the playoffs in the 2023-24 season. Titans Jacksonville JaguarsFiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. 500. Let's evaluate last season's playoff teams and rate their chances of making it back in January. UPDATED Feb. This season, of 18 games (including the playoffs), they only lost by more than three points once. Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. As of November 24 the Houston Texans' odds of winning the Super Bowl, +6000, place them 12th in the NFL. Along those lines, and between the same guardrails, FiveThirtyEight updated its 2022 College Football Playoff Predictions model after the initial release of the 2022 College Football rankings on Tuesday, and it did indeed change some things from before that baseline was set. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 5 sacks. 3% implied probability -20000. Stats. 78 total) Michigan Wolverines: -260 (bet $10 to win $13. Packers odds to make the playoffs: Yes +175, No -225. That will cause a lot of chaos as we get. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet. NFL wild-card playoff best bets *Odds and analysis as of Monday 1/9* Chargers -1. Yes: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total) No -20000 (bet $10 to win $10. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Sat. Traditional predictions have them sitting with a 75% chance to make the playoffs. Browns Betting Insights The Browns have put together a 6-3-1 record against the spread. 3 of 9 4 of 9 San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) passes against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday. Based off those odds, the Chiefs’ implied probability to win the Super Bowl is. You'd stake $12 on New England to win $10 and place $10 on KC to win $15. 2023 NFL predictions: AFC East gauntlet might take down Bills, Jets. Pick. The actual odds are -201 for Yes, and +150 for No. In fact, in the Saints’ first nine games, the only 2022 playoff team they face is the Jags, who had to win five straight to get to 9-8 and in the postseason last year. W. Overall. Teams. Check out the 2023 NFL playoff odds for every team, along with our top picks. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Bucks 3-2. (13 teams didn't. UPDATED Feb. In other words, unless something miraculously happens, like a host of ties across the league over the next two. Seattle Seahawks. 2%. 9h Kevin Pulsifer. Jan. The Cowboys still have a 30% chance of making NFC champs with their current. We tiered each team's likelihood of making the postseason, from the Super Bowl favorites to the No. With the final AFC playoff spot up for grabs in Week 18, FiveThirtyEight has released its final playoff odds for the Dolphins, Patriots and Steelers entering the final weekend of the regular.